Emerging Trends

Learning

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"In the future students will not be constrained by the limits of the classroom model. They will set their own curriculum and proceed at their own pace. Learning can thus be based on a student’s individual needs, rather than as predefined in a formal class, and based on a student’s schedule, rather than that set by the institution." - Stephen DownesLink: http://www.masternewmedia.org/online-learning-trends-models-and-dynamics-in-our-education-future-part-1/#ixzz1K1fcITMY

Problems with traditional learning

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group of people starting at the same time, studying the same materials at the same pace, and ending at the same time.Link: http://www.masternewmedia.org/online-learning-trends-models-and-dynamics-in-our-education-future-part-1/#ixzz1K1gilYFR

Distance Learning is not new

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Distance education has existed in some form or another since the 1800s.

Enrollment trends

schools going online

students learning online

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More and more learners are requiring flexibility in program structure to accommodate their other responsibilities, such as full-time jobs or family needs (PSU, 1998). Students’ demand is being supported and answered. In 1998, 83% of governors identified “allowing students to obtain education anytime and anyplace via technology” as a critical characteristic of universities in the twenty-first century (de Alva, 2000 pp. 34, 38).

students shopping for courses that fit their schedule and circumstances

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older students are learning

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Online students are becoming an entirely new subpopulation of higher-education learners. They are “generally older, have completed more college credit hours and more degree programs, and have a higher all-college GPA than their traditional counterparts” (Diaz, 2002, pp. 1-2).Xokmax Youtube demographics

adult learners are the fastest-growing population in higher education

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Not only are they numerous, adult learners are the fastest-growing population in higher education. While the number of 18-24-year-old students increased only 41% between 1970 and 2000, the number of adult students increased 170% (Aslanian, 2001; “Lifelong,” 2002).

40% increase every year

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Not only is online learning more common now, but it increases 40% annually (Gallagher, 2002).

Academic trends

Knowledge and information are growing exponentially.

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“In the past, information doubled every 10 years; now it doubles every four years” (Aslanian, 2001, p. 5; see also Finkelstein, 1996).

traditional campuses declining

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Dunn (2000) projected changes in higher education’s landscape over the next 20 years. “The number of degree-granting institutions will continue to grow, while the number of traditional campuses will decline. By 2025, half of today’s existing independent colleges will be closed, merged, or significantly altered in mission” (p. 37).

Instruction is becoming more learner-centered, non-linear, and self-directed.

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“recursive and non-linear, engaging, self-directed, and meaningful from the learner’s perspective” (McCombs, 2000, p. 1)

massive pedagogical shift

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A pedagogical shift is likewise occurring within distance education, moving from a transmission model to constructivist, sociocultural and metacognitive models. These models use computer-mediated communication and emphasize students’ responsibility for their own learning (Rumble, 2001; Miller, 2001).

Academic emphasis is shifting from course-completion to competency.

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Diplomas are less meaningful to employers; knowledge, performance, and skills are what count to them (Callahan, 2003).De Alva (2000) also found this trend; 66% of governors identified “integrating applied or on-the-job experience into academic programs” as a critical characteristic of universities in the 21st century (p. 34, 36, 40; see also BYU DCE Unit Review, 2001).

Economic Trends

recession

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With the economy in recession, there are fewer resources for higher education and higher education, initiatives, such as distance education.

funding for IT

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A study from the Colorado Department of Education reported that “the cost per student of a high-quality online learning program is the same as or greater than the per-student cost of physical school [i.e., traditional] education” (Branigan, 2003, p. 1).

Technology

mobile learning

virtual simulations

Second Life

Adaptive Learning Environments

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Technological devices are becoming more versatile and ubiquitous

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Infrastructures are growing stronger as computers double in speed while decreasing in cost, and high-speed network connections continue to expand. Computer, fax, picture phone, duplication, and other modalities are merging and becoming available at ever cheaper prices (Cetron, 2003).

There is a huge growth in Internet usage.

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Not only is technology becoming more ubiquitous, it is being used more competently by more people from all nationalities, age groups, and socioeconomic levels (Murray, 2003).

Business

more tolerance for online degrees

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“human resource professionals and hiring managers are becoming more accepting of online degree credentials” (“Lifelong,” 2002, p. 77).

view online courses are modern and competent

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“Universities offering distance education are often perceived as modern and [technologically] competent, thus creating a competitive advantage” (Bishop, 2003, p. 374).

Major Trends

Companies integrate e-learning into their infrastructure.

Churning skill sets require e-learning initiatives.

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With job descriptions and daily tasks evolving faster than schools can produce qualified job candidates, many employers rely on constant, on-the-job training to remain competitive.

E-Learning levels professional playing field around the world.

Gamers bring interactive skills to e-learning

Governments deploy e-learning at all levels

Partners and collaborators use e-learning to get everyone on the same page sooner.

Language

quote

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Education by and large has not changed. The world outside has. Syllabus/curriculum is rooted in a past paradigm of fixed knowledge

2 types of learning

Formal

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Students pursue the same objectives employing the same methodologies. This is especially evident in corporate learning, where they are expected to share the same vision and to be pursuing the same outcomes.Learning in such classes is frequently collaborative, as students work in small groups to produce a common project or outcome. (Mohn & Nault, 2004).Interaction is structured and led by an instructor.Classes are closed; there is a clear barrier between members and non-members.Link: http://www.masternewmedia.org/online-learning-trends-models-and-dynamics-in-our-education-future-part-1/#ixzz1K1gEgvls

Informa

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People pursue their own objectives in their own way, while at the same time initiating and sustaining an ongoing dialogue with others pursuing similar objectives.Learning and discussion is not structured, but rather, is determined by the needs and interests of the participants.There is no leader; each person participates as they deem appropriate.There are no boundaries; people drift into and out of the conversation as their knowledge and interests change.Link: http://www.masternewmedia.org/online-learning-trends-models-and-dynamics-in-our-education-future-part-1/#ixzz1K1gR1T1S

transition

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Underlying the transition from formal, structured learning to more informal and more unstructured learning is not simply a technological change but also a social change.Link: http://www.masternewmedia.org/online-learning-trends-models-and-dynamics-in-our-education-future-part-1/#ixzz1K1gYTxYI

tools

computer

cell

mp3

software

messengers

video-conference

interactive whiteboards

hire tutors online

native speaker

statistics

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Top 15 Languages Learned in the U.S.(based on Fall 2006 Enrollments in U.S. Institutions of Higher Education)Language % of Enrollment Language % of Enrollment1. Spanish 52.2% 2. French 13.1% 3. German 6% 4. American Sign Language 5% 5. Italian 5% 6. Japanese 4.2% 7. Chinese 3.3% 8. Latin 2% 9. Russian 1.6%10. Arabic 1.5%11. Ancient Greek 1.4%12. Biblical Hebrew 0.9%13. Portuguese 0.7%14. Modern Hebrew 0.6%15. Korean 0.5%

more students enrolled than ever before

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Over 1.5 million college students were enrolled in language courses in Fall 2006

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what languages?

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Spanish continues -- as it has since 1970 -- to be the most widely taught language at American colleges and universities across the country. Enrollments in French, German, and Russian continue to grow at a steady pace, while the percentages of students taking American Sign Language, Italian, Japanese, Chinese, Arabic, Portuguese, and Korean have grown dramatically. Of the top 15 languages learned, Chinese and Arabic grew most rapidly on a percentage basis during the period under study.

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204 lesser taught languages

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In addition to the traditionally taught languages, American college and university students are learning 204 less commonly taught languages indigenous to regions throughout the world. These include such languages as Amharic, Swahili, Persian, Hindi, Modern Greek, Hawai'ian, Polish, and Vietnamese.

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does online learning save you money?

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The cost of elearning: does it save you money?not necessarily…..Static content, unfacilitated online models can recoup costs in the longer termBlended learning (online and f2f) can be cost neutralSolely online facilitated models FACT: it takes longer to effectively teach 15 people online than it does to teach the same amount of content to the same number of people in a classroomCosts can be offset by employing Open Source software (eg Moodle) and not investing in developing whole course content for preloading

benefits of virtual learning

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The Virtual ClassroomSaves travel time and teleconferencing costsOffers remote synchronous instruction/meeting spaceRecordings can be accessed (repeatedly) asynchronously after the eventThis model of elearning is sustainable and cost effective

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