Probability

Basic Probability

Classic Probability

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is used when each outcome in a sample space is equally likely to occur.P(E)= number of outcomes in event E total # of outcomes in sample space

Problem G

Empirical Probability

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is based on observations obtained from probability experiments.P(E)= Frequency of event E = f Total frequency h

Problem I

Complement of Event E

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the set of all outcomes in a sample space that are not included in event E.

Problem E

Addition Rule

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Keyword "OR"

Mutually Exclusive

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Mutually Exclusive Events are events that cannot occur at the same time.If A and B are mutually exclusive,P(A and B) = 0If A and B are mutually exclusive, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)

Problem B

Non-Mutually Exclusive

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If A and B are not mutually exclusive then, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)

Problem F

Probability Experiment

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an action, or trail, through which specific results (counts, measurements, or responses) are obtained.

Outcome

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the results of a single trail in a probability experiment.

Sample Space

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the set of all possible outcomes of a probability experiment.

Event

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a subset of the dample space. May consist of one or more outcomes.

Simple Event

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an event that consists of a single outcome.

Multiplication Rule

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Keyword "AND"

IndependentEvents

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if the occurence of 1 event does not affect the probability of the other evert. Two events A &B are independent if P(B/A)= P(B) or if P(A/B)=P(A)

Probelem H

DependentEvents

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events that are not independent are dependent.

Problem A

ConditionalProbability

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the probability of an event occurring, given that another event has already occurred. The conditional probability of event B occurring, given that event A has occurred, is denoted by P(B/A).

Problem C

at least one

Problem J

Subjective Probability

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results from intution, educated guesses, and estimates.

Law of Large Numbers

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as an experiment is repeated over and over, the emperical probability of an event approaches the theoretical (actual) probability.

Counting

FundamentalCounting Rule

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if 1 event can occur in m ways and a second event can occur n ways. The # of ways the two events can occur in sequence is m*n. This rule can be extended for any # of events occurring in sequence.

Question #41, pg. 180

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A password consists of two letters followed by a five-digit number. How many passwords are possible if (a) there are no restrictions and (b) none of the letters or digits can be repeated?(a) 26*26*10*10*10*10*10= 67,600,000(b) 26*25*10*9*8*7*6= 19,656,000

Permutations

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an ordered arrangement of objects. The # of different permutations of n distinct objects is n!

Question # 20, pg. 178

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Eight people compete in a downhill ski race. Assuming that there are no ties, in how many different orders can the skiers finish.=40,320

Combinations

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a selection of r objects from a group of n objects without regard to order and is denoted by nCr. The # of combinations of r objects selected from a group of n objects isnCr= n! (n-r)!r!

Question # 23, pg. 179

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A lottery has 52 numbers. In how many different ways can 6 of the numbers be selected? (Assume that order of selection is not important.)=52 C 6=20,358,520

Probability

Range of probabilities rule

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the probability of an event E is between 1 and 0, inclusive.